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Threshold of a stochastic siqs epidemic model with isolation

DISCRETE AND CONTINUOUS DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS-SERIES B(2021)

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Abstract
The aim of this paper is to give sufficient conditions, very close to the necessary one, to classify the stochastic permanence of SIQS epidemic model with isolation via a threshold value (R) over cap. Precisely, we show that if (R) over cap < 1 then the stochastic SIQS system goes to the disease free case in sense the density of infected I-z (t) and quarantined Q(z) (t) classes extincts to 0 at exponential rate and the density of susceptible class S-z (t) converges almost surely at exponential rate to the solution of boundary equation. In the case <(R)over cap> > 1, the model is permanent. We show the existence of a unique invariant probability measure and prove the convergence in total variation norm of transition probability to this invariant measure. Some numerical examples are also provided to illustrate our findings.
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Key words
SIQS model,Extinction,Permanence,Stationary distribution,Ergodicity
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