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Evaluation of crop model prediction and uncertainty using Bayesian parameter estimation and Bayesian model averaging

Yujing Gao,Daniel Wallach,Toshihiro Hasegawa,Liang Tang,Ruoyang Zhang,Senthold Asseng,Tamer Kahveci,Leilei Liu,Jianqiang He,Gerrit Hoogenboom

Agricultural and Forest Meteorology（2021）

Cited 14|Views16
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Abstract
•Bayesian model averaging is superior to simple model averaging.•BMA assigns different weights to individual models of a multi-model ensemble.•A full chain of analysis for crop model ensembles is illustrated.
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Crop models,Multi-model ensemble,MCMC,Reliability diagram,Model weighting
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