Long term changes of the sub-daily precipitation extremes in Hungary

semanticscholar(2021)

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Abstract

The warming climate evokes increasing frequency of extreme precipitation in some region. Analysis of long-term measurements could support the better understanding of the processes that cause extreme precipitation events.

Automatic stations replaced the ombrometer in many places in Hungary, particularly from the late 1990s. The change of the measurement practice do not allow simply merging the data recorded form the registering paper in the past and the recent 10 minutes measurements.   The most intense 5, 10, 20, 30, 60, 180 min sub-totals per rainfall events were recorded from the ombrometer registering paper before atomization, typically until 1993. By contrast, the 10 min precipitation sum from the AWSs are stored in the meteorological database of the Hungarian Meteorological Service from automatization. In order to join together the older and the AWS measurements it was necessary to develop a method to make this possible. Therefore we downscaled the 10 min data in time. The sampling of the AWSs is one minute, although the 1-minute data are available only for some stations in the digital database.  We applied a linear regression model to downscale the 10-miniute data for 1 min. After this, we can derive the most intense sub-totals per events from the AWS data as if they have been measured with the ombrometers.

Thereby a set of sub-daily precipitation indices defined in the INTENSE project (https://research.ncl.ac.uk/intense/aboutintense/ can be computed for longer data series. Some of the indices specified in INTENSE project describes the maximum rainfall totals and timing, the intensity, duration and frequency of heavy precipitation, frequency of rainfall above specific thresholds and some of them is related to diurnal cycle. A few of these indices are analysed for long data series to detect the sub-daily precipitation changes in Hungary.

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