Epilepsy mortality in wales during covid-19

Purpose We aimed to compare mortality rates in people with epilepsy in Wales during the pandemic with pre-pandemic rates. Methods We performed a retrospective study using population-scale anonymised health records. We identified deaths in people with epilepsy (DPWE), those with a diagnosis of epilepsy, and deaths associ- ated with epilepsy (DAE), where epilepsy was recorded as a cause of death. We compared death rates in 2020 with average rates in 2015–2019 using Poisson models. Results There were 188 DAE and 628 DPWE in Wales in 2020 (death rates: 7.7/100,000/year and 25.7/100,000/year). The average rates for DAE and DPWE from 2015 to 2019 were 5.8/100,000/year and 23.8/100,000/year, respectively. Death rate ratios (2020 compared to 2015–2019) for DAE were 1.34 (95%CI 1.14–1.57, p<0.001) and for DPWE were 1.08 (0.99–1.17, p = 0.09). The death rate ratios for non-COVID deaths (deaths without COVID mentioned on death certificates) for DAE were 1.17 (0.99–1.39, p = 0.06) and for DPWE were 0.96 (0.87–1.05, p = 0.37). Conclusions The significant increase in DAE in Wales during 2020 could be explained by the direct effect of COVID-19 infection. Non-COVID-19 deaths have not increased significantly but further work is needed to assess the longer-term impact.