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Analysis of Dangchuan 5 # landslide on January 27, 2021, in Yongjing County, Gansu Province, China

LANDSLIDES(2021)

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摘要
On January 27, 2021, a small-scale loess landslide occurred in Dangchuan Village, Yongjing County, Gansu Province, China. Timely monitoring and warning helped to prevent any casualties. The sliding mass of the Dangchuan landslide fell in two stages with an interval of 24 s and lasted for a total of 31 s. Eventually, the Dangchuan landslide had a descent height of approximately 120 m and a sliding portion stretching approximately 350 m. The landslide volume was approximately 3 × 10 4 m 3 . Based on the investigation of different stages of the Dangchuan landslide and the characteristics of the deposition area, the induction of this landslide was attributed to the effect of frozen stagnant water. Following field investigation of the landslide source and crack areas, a potential sliding mass model with a volume of 5 × 10 4 m 3 was obtained via calculation. To predict the disaster scope of potential landslides, we first used DAN 3D software to invert this Dangchuan landslide. Then, based on the numerical model parameters obtained from the inversion, the sliding accumulation process of the potential slide mass was simulated. The results showed that the maximum disaster scope of the potential slide mass would be larger than that of the Dangchuan landslide. The new deposit would cover an area of approximately 3.5 × 10 4 m 2 , with a thickness in the range of 0–6 m. The new deposition area would expand by approximately 50 m in the long-axis direction compared to the Dangchuan landslide, impacting the houses and roads. The DAN 3D prediction results of the disaster scope will help residents in the potential danger zone evacuate in advance, reducing unnecessary damage.
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关键词
Loess landslide, Freezing and thawing effect, Numerical simulation, DAN(3D), Disaster scope
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