Seasonal ensemble forecasts for soil moisture, evapotranspiration and runoff across Australia
Journal of Hydrology(2021)
摘要
•We developed a seasonal hydrological ensemble forecasting system for Australia.•The system predicts root-zone soil moisture, evapotranspiration and runoff nationally.•The forecasts use a climate forecasting system combined with a hydrological model.•We assessed the performance of predicting mean conditions and hydrological extremes.•The forecasts show sufficient skill up to three months ahead for many applications.
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关键词
Seasonal forecasts,Hydrological forecasting,Ensemble forecasts,Drought,Flood,Bushfire risk
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