Mutually inclusive mechanisms of drought-induced tree mortality

An extreme summer drought caused unprecedented tree dieback across Central Europe in 2018, highlighting the need for a better mechanistic understanding of drought-induced tree mortality. While numerous physiological risk factors have been identified, the principal mechanisms, hydraulic failure and carbon starvation, are still debated. We studied 9,435 trees from 12 temperate species planted in a diversity experiment in 2013 to assess how hydraulic traits, carbon dynamics, pest infestation, tree height and neighbourhood competition influence individual mortality risk. We observed a reduced mortality risk for trees with wider hydraulic safety margins, while a rising sugar fraction of the non-structural carbohydrate pool and bark beetle infestation were associated with higher risk. Taller trees had a lower mortality risk. The sign and magnitude of neighbourhood effects on mortality risk depended on the species-identity of the involved trees, with most species having beneficial and some having deleterious effects on their neighbours. While severe tissue dehydration causing hydraulic failure precedes drought-induced tree mortality, we show that the probability of this event depends on a series of mutually inclusive processes including pest infestation and starch depletion for osmotic adjustment, and is modulated by the size and species identity of a tree and its neighbours. ### Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest.