Have anthropogenic factors mitigated or intensified soil erosion over the past three decades in South China?

As a form of land degradation, soil erosion directly threatens the sustainability of natural resources and the environment. The impacts of humans on soil erosion are profound and complex, especially in the areas with frequent human activities. Moreover, the great variability of human activities at the spatial and time scales precludes a comprehensive understanding of how humans affect regional erosion. This study evaluated soil erosion by water from 1985 to 2015 occurring in South China, which is densely populated and has been intensively exploited, based on the Chinese Soil Loss Equation (CSLE) and multisource data including remote sensing images, meteorological station information and geographic data. A quantitative method combining traceability thinking and residual trend approach was employed to distinguish the relative contributions of climate change and human activities. The results showed that the average amount of soil erosion exhibited a significant decreasing trend from 1985 to 2015, which was consistent with the national water census data and previous studies. Anthropogenic factors played a more vital role than natural variables in the evolution of soil erosion, the multiyear average contribution of which was 63.90%. The area in which anthropogenic factors alleviated soil erosion covered approximately 83.70% of the study area. These results indicate that soil and water conservation practices have made outstanding contributions to the reduction of soil erosion in South China. However, the impacts of the expansion of building land and the development of plantations on aggravating soil erosion cannot be ignored. For future soil erosion control, we observed the diminishing marginal effect of investments in soil and water conservation, and a higher governance potential in the severely eroded regions, which made the severely eroded poor land a primary for comprehensive ecological management. This study aims to provide valuable insights for decision makers in South China to better understand the impacts of humans on the evolution of soil erosion and could provide scientific support for reducing regional soil loss and enhancing the sustainable development of the ecological environment.