Time-series interval prediction under uncertainty using modified double multiplicative neuron network

Expert Systems with Applications(2021)

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摘要
•A hybrid approach for prediction intervals (PIs) estimation of terrain profiles is proposed.•It integrates the double multiplicative neuron (DMN) model and the modified PSO (MPSO).•MPSO adjusts parameters of DMN by minimizing the value of the proposed cost function.•It improves the prediction accuracy for terrain trends by 15.4% in the testing data,•It reduces the computational burden by 8% in the testing data over the LUBE method.
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关键词
Multiplicative neuron,Particle swarm optimization,Prediction intervals,Terrain profiles,Time series prediction
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