Modeling Of The Manufacturing Systems State In The Conditions Of The Lean Production

This article investigates the hierarchy of the manufacturing system, which consists of a set of interrelated processes aimed at converting information, knowledge, energy, materials, and other resources into value for the consumer based on the principles of lean production. Modern manufacturing systems are becoming more and more complex to manage. The problems that need to be solved are associated with a significant number of time-varying parameters, large time delays, high non-linearity of processes, and a complex relationship between input and output parameters. Depending on the parameters of internal components and characteristics of external conditions, the state of manufacturing systems can change in an unpredictable manner. The paper considers many types of discrete states in which the system can be. The estimation of the probability of finding the manufacturing system in any of the given states was carried out using discrete Markov analysis. The article also presents the results of studies of possible transitions between states in which the production system is presented in the form of a transition matrix.