Drinking-and-driving in the United States from 1983 to 2017: Comparing survey and model-based estimates of prevalence

•Estimates of the prevalence of drinking-and-driving vary widely by method.•A model-based method suggest prevalence has plateaued at 15% for 25 years.•Drinking-drivers have become relatively more dangerous over time.•Methods can be combined to bound the true prevalence of drinking-and-driving.•Great uncertainty about the extent of legally-impaired driving or change over time.