Radiation Without Endocrine Therapy in Older Women With Stage I Estrogen-Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer is Not Associated With a Higher Risk of Second Breast Cancer Events

PURPOSE:The omission of radiation therapy (RT) in older women with stage 1 estrogen-receptor-positive (ER+) breast cancer receiving endocrine therapy (ET) is an acceptable strategy based on randomized trial data. Less is known about the omission of ET with or without RT. METHODS AND MATERIALS:We analyzed surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER)-Medicare data for 13,321 women age 66 years or older with stage I ER+ breast cancer from 2007 to 2012 who underwent breast-conserving surgery. Patients were classified into 4 groups: (1) ET + RT (reference); (2) ET alone; (3) RT alone; and (4) neither RT nor ET (NT). Second breast cancer events (SBCEs) were captured using the Chubak high-specificity algorithm. We used χ2 tests for descriptive statistics, multivariable multinomial logistic regression to estimate relative risk of undergoing a treatment, and multivariable, propensity-weighted competing-risks survival regression to estimate standardized hazard ratio (SHR) of SBCE. We set significance at P ≤ .01. RESULTS:Most women underwent both treatments, with 44% undergoing ET + RT, 41% RT alone, 6.6% ET alone, and 8.6% NT, but practice patterns varied over time. From 2007 to 2012, RT decreased from 49% to 30%, whereas ET alone and ET + RT increased (ET alone, 5.4%-9.6%; ET + RT, 38%-51%). Compared with patients age 66 to 69 years, patients age 80 to 85 years were more likely to receive NT (odds ratio [OR], 8.9), RT (OR, 1.9), or ET (OR, 8.8) versus ET + RT (P < .01). Three percent of subjects had an SBCE (2.2% ET + RT, 3.0% RT alone, 3.2% ET alone, 7.0% NT). Relative to ET + RT, NT and ET alone were associated with higher SBCE (NT: SHR, 3.7, P < .001; ET alone: SHR, 2.2, P = .008), whereas RT was not associated with a higher SBCE (SHR 1.21; P = .137). Clinical factors associated with higher SBCE were HER2 positivity and pT1c (SHR, 1.7; P = .006). CONCLUSIONS:Treatment with RT alone in older women with stage I ER+ disease is decreasing. RT alone is not associated with an increased risk for SBCE. By contrast, NT and ET are both associated with higher SBCE in multivariable analysis with propensity weighting. Further study of the omission of endocrine therapy in this patient population is warranted.