Prognostic Biomarkers for Thrombotic Microangiopathy after Acute Graft-versus-Host Disease: A Nested Case-Control Study.

Transplantation-associated thrombotic microangiopathy (TA-TMA) is a complication of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) that often occurs following the development of acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD). In this study, we aimed to identify early TMA biomarkers among patients with aGVHD. We performed a nested-case-control study from a prospective cohort of allogeneic HCT recipients, matching on the timing and severity of antecedent aGVHD. We identified 13 TMA cases and 25 non-TMA controls from 208 patients in the cohort. Using multivariable conditional logistic regression, the odds ratio for TMA compared with non-TMA was 2.65 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00 to 7.04) for every 100 ng/mL increase in terminal complement complex sC5b9 and 2.62 (95% CI, 1.56 to 4.38) for every 1000 pg/mL increase in angiopoietin-2 (ANG2) at the onset of aGVHD. ADAMTS13 and von Willebrand factor (VWF) antigens were not appreciably associated with TMA. Using a Cox regression model incorporating sC5b9 >300 ng/mL and ANG2 >3000 pg/mL at the onset of aGVHD, the adjusted hazard ratio for mortality was 5.33 (95% CI, 1.57 to 18.03) for the high-risk group (both elevated) and 4.40 (95% CI, 1.60 to 12.07) for the intermediate-risk group (one elevated) compared with the low-risk group (neither elevated). In conclusion, we found that elevated sC5b9 and ANG2 levels at the onset of aGVHD were associated with the development of TMA and possibly mortality after accounting for the timing and severity of aGVHD. The results suggest important roles of complement activation and endothelial dysfunction in the pathogenesis of TMA. Measurement of these biomarkers at the onset of aGVHD may inform prognostic enrichment for preventive trials and improve clinical care.