Detecting Long-Term Balancing Selection Using Allele Frequency Correlation

Balancing selection occurs when multiple alleles are maintained in a population, which can result in their preservation over long evolutionary time periods. A characteristic signature of this long-term balancing selection is an excess number of intermediate frequency polymorphisms near the balanced variant. However, the expected distribution of allele frequencies at these loci has not been extensively detailed, and therefore existing summary statistic methods do not explicitly take it into account. Using simulations, we show that new mutations which arise in close proximity to a site targeted by balancing selection accumulate at frequencies nearly identical to that of the balanced allele. In order to scan the genome for balancing selection, we propose a new summary statistic, beta, which detects these clusters of alleles at similar frequencies. Simulation studies show that compared with existing summary statistics, our measure has improved power to detect balancing selection, and is reasonably powered in non-equilibrium demographic models and under a range of recombination and mutation rates. We compute beta on 1000 Genomes Project data to identify loci potentially subjected to long-term balancing selection in humans. We report two balanced haplotypes-localized to the genes WFS1 and CADM2-that are strongly linked to association signals for complex traits. Our approach is computationally efficient and applicable to species that lack appropriate outgroup sequences, allowing for well-powered analysis of selection in the wide variety of species for which population data are rapidly being generated.