Preoperative Predictors Of Pathological Tumour Stage And Prognosis May Be Used When Selecting Candidates For Intensified Treatment In Upper Tract Urothelial Carcinoma

Purpose: Intensified treatment such as extended lymph node dissection (LND) and/or perioperative chemotherapy in addition to radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) has been suggested for high-risk cases of upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). We aimed to identify preoperative predictors of tumour stage and prognosis in the diagnostic work-up before RNU. Further to evaluate if our findings could be used in selecting patients for intensified treatment.Patients and methods: A total of 179 patients treated with RNU for UTUC at Haukeland University Hospital (HUS) and Vestfold Hospital Trust (VHT) during 2005-2017 were included in this retrospective study. All relevant preoperative variables regarding the patient, the CT and the ureteroscopy (URS) were registered and analysed regarding their ability to predict non-organ confined disease (NOCD, pT3+ and/or N+) at final pathology after RNU. The prognosis was assessed calculating survival for the cohort and stratified by preoperative variables.Results: Local invasion and pathological lymph nodes at CT predicted NOCD in uni and multivariate regression analyses (OR 3.36, p=.004 and OR 6.21, p=.03, respectively). Reactive oedema surrounding the tumour (OR 2.55, p=.02), tumour size (4.8 vs. 3.9 cm, p=.006) and high-grade tumour at URS biopsy (OR 3.59, p=.04) predicted NOCD at univariate regression analyses. The 5-year CSS and OS for the entire cohort was 79% and 60%. ECOG, local invasion, pathological lymph nodes and reactive oedema surrounding the tumour at CT predicted CSS.Conclusions: Several variables at the CT predicted both stage and survival. Local invasion at CT seems the most promising feature for selecting patients for intensified treatment.