The impacts of COVID-19 vaccine timing, number of doses, and risk prioritization on mortality in the US.
medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences(2021)
Abstract
As COVID-19 vaccination begins worldwide, policymakers face critical trade-offs. Using a mathematical model of COVID-19 transmission, we find that timing of the rollout is expected to have a substantially greater impact on mortality than risk-based prioritization and uptake and that prioritizing first doses over second doses may be life saving.
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