Rapid assessment of climate risks for irrigated agriculture in two river basins in the Aral Sea Basin

Anastasia Lobanova,Iulii Didovets,Christoph Menz,Atabek Umirbekov,Zhanna Babagalieva,Fred Hattermann,Valentina Krysanova

Agricultural Water Management（2021）

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摘要

•climate change will trigger a strong increase in temperature in Central Asia.•discharge is expected to increase in early spring and decrease in summer.•projected changes may put spring crops under stress while winter cereals may benefit.•adjusting of planting and irrigation calendar may help in adapting to future changes.

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Central Asia,hydrological modelling,climate change adaptation,adaptation options,irrigated agriculture

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