The influence of sediment blanketing on subduction-zone seismicity

Subduction of oceanic lithosphere is now occurring beneath the Aegean and central Caspian Seas, and beneath the Indo-Burman Ranges in NE India, generating zones of earthquakes that reach depths of more than 150 km. Their existence is surprising. In general, where the temperature of the mantle part of the oceanic lithosphere can be estimated, earthquakes are confined to material whose temperature is below 600 degrees C. In these three regions the oceanic lithosphere is overlain by sediments with low thermal conductivity whose thickness is probably 10-25 km. The temperature of the oceanic crust and upper half of the lithosphere should be considerably increased by such a thick sedimentary cover, yet there is no obvious difference between these subduction zones and those where there is little sediment on the subducting plate. Detailed thermal modelling of the temperature shows that, for the first 40 Ma, the deposition of even a thick sedimentary layer has little effect on the thickness of the region of lithosphere whose temperature is below 600 degrees C, principally because little heat is conducted across the Moho. The modest effect of sediment blanketing over a period as long as 40 Ma was quite unexpected. Over the next 200 Ma the lithospheric temperature increases, until the Moho temperature reaches similar to 600 degrees C. This behaviour has important implications for oil and gas generation in the sediments, and for the existence of large earthquakes at depths of 150 km or more beneath the Hindu Kush, Pamirs and Romania. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.