CLIF-C AD Score Predicts Development of Acute Decompensations and Survival in Hospitalized Cirrhotic Patients

Background and Aims Patients with decompensated cirrhosis are at increased risk of mortality, even in absence of ACLF. The CLIF-C AD score (CLIF-C ADs) was proposed as a prognostic score but lacks sufficient validation. Our aim was to describe clinical characteristics and hospital evolution according to score groups and evaluate prognostic capability of CLIF-C ADs alone or in combination with other scores. Methods Two hundred and sixty-six patients (55 ± 14 years, ascites in 63%, MELD 14 ± 5) were included, and classified as high, intermediate and low CLIF-C ADs in 13, 60 and 27% of cases. Development of new complications of cirrhosis during hospitalization and survival at 3 months were evaluated. Results Patients with high CLIF-C ADs had more severe systemic inflammation parameters and higher frequency of organ dysfunction. CLIF-C ADs ≥ 60, when compared to intermediate and low groups, was associated with higher incidence of complications of cirrhosis (90% vs 70% and 49%, p < 0.001) and lower survival (93%, 80% and 50%, p < 0.0001). In multivariate analysis, CLIF-C ADs, ascites and MELD were predictors of survival [(AUROC 0.76 (95% CI 0.69–0.83)]. Absence of ascites or MELD < 14 identified patients with intermediate CLIF-C ADs and good survival (89 and 84%, respectively). Conclusion CLIF-C ADs predicts survival in cirrhotic patients with AD. High CLIF-C ADs is associated with higher frequency of organ dysfunction, increased risk of new complications of cirrhosis and high short-term mortality. On the contrary, individuals with low CLIF-C ADs, as well as those with intermediate score without ascites or with low MELD have excellent prognoses.