A Time-Sequence Simulation Method for Power Unit's Monthly Energy-Trade Scheduling with Multiple Energy Sources

The uncertainty of new energy output from wind power is rarely considered in the monthly energy-trade scheduling. This causes many problems since the new energy penetration level increases. The fairness of the scheduled energy for the power suppliers is difficult to guarantee. Because the actual power system operation is far away from scheduling when the monthly energy-trade schedule is carried out, unnecessary wind curtailment might occur, and even the feasibility of monthly energy-trade schedule might not be guaranteed. This affects the security and reliability of the power system operation. In this paper, a new time-sequence simulation method for the monthly energy-trade scheduling is proposed, which considers the new energy power forecasting characteristic and the computational load problem of hourly energy-trade simulation in the remaining months. The proposed method is based on a segment modelling strategy. The power generation in the scheduling month is optimized hourly, and the energy generation is optimized in the subsequent months on a monthly basis. For the scheduling month, accurate cost function is applied in the objective function, and detailed short-term operation constraints and the new energy forecasting results are considered, which can guarantee the feasibility of the new monthly energy-trade scheduling and lay a solid foundation for daily dispatching. For the subsequent months, since the load forecast accuracy is lower and no wind power forecasting results could be used, the rough cost function is applied, and only monthly constraints are considered. To ensure a balance in the execution progress of each power generating entity, the simulation time-scale is set as the remainder of the months in the study year. The new approach ensures the fairness of power execution progress and improves the new energy consumption level. A case study was used to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method, which provides a theoretical reference for the monthly electrical energy-trade scheduling.