Evaluation of Survival Outcomes of Endovascular Versus Open Aortic Repair for Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms with a Big Data Approach

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is a localized enlargement of the abdominal aorta. Once ruptured AAA (rAAA) happens, repairing procedures need to be applied immediately, for which there are two main options: open aortic repair (OAR) and endovascular aortic repair (EVAR). It is of great clinical significance to objectively compare the survival outcomes of OAR versus EVAR using randomized clinical trials; however, this has serious feasibility issues. In this study, with the Medicare data, we conduct an emulation analysis and explicitly "assemble" a clinical trial with rigorously defined inclusion/exclusion criteria. A total of 7826 patients are "recruited", with 3866 and 3960 in the OAR and EVAR arms, respectively. Mimicking but significantly advancing from the regression-based literature, we adopt a deep learning-based analysis strategy, which consists of a propensity score step, a weighted survival analysis step, and a bootstrap step. The key finding is that for both short- and long-term mortality, EVAR has survival advantages. This study delivers a new big data strategy for addressing critical clinical problems and provides valuable insights into treating rAAA using OAR and EVAR.