Hybrid-Learning Type-2 Takagi-Sugeno-Kang Fuzzy Systems for Temperature Estimation in Hot-Rolling

Entry temperature estimation is a major concern for finishing mill set-up in hot strip mills. Variations in the incoming bar conditions, frequent product changes and measurement uncertainties may cause erroneous estimation, and hence, an incorrect mill set-up causing a faulty bar head-end. In earlier works, several varieties of neuro-fuzzy systems have been tested due to their adaptation capabilities. In order to test the combination of the simplicity offered by Takagi-Sugeno-Kang systems (also known as Sugeno systems) and the modeling power of type-2 fuzzy, in this work, hybrid-learning type-2 Sugeno fuzzy systems are evaluated and compared with the results presented earlier. Systems with both empirically and fuzzy c-means-generated rules as well as purely fuzzy systems and grey-box models are tested. Experimental data were collected from a real-life mill; datasets for rule-generation, training, and validation were randomly drawn. Two of the grey-box models presented here reach 100% of bars with 20 degrees C or less prediction error, while two of the purely fuzzy systems improved performance with respect to purely fuzzy systems presented elsewhere, however it was only a slight improvement.