Disease detection and resource use in the safety and control arms of the HPV FOCAL cervical cancer screening trial

Background: The HPV FOCAL Trial is a RCT comparing human papilloma virus (HPV) with Liquid Based Cytology (LBC) screening for cervical cancer. Results are presented for the comparison of the Safety and Control arms after two rounds. Methods: HPV FOCAL included randomisation of women aged 25–65 into the Safety arm, where they were initially screened with HPV and the Control arm, where they received entry screening with LBC, with both arms screened again with LBC at 24 months. Results: There are 6203 (Safety) and 6075 (Control) women included in this analysis. For the Safety vs Control arms, Round 1 screening resulted in increased detection of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 or worse (CIN2+),15.3 vs 10.4 per 1000, RR=1.48 (95%CI=1.08–2.03) and higher colposcopy referral rates, 5.6% vs 3.2%. LBC screening at 24 months resulted in similar colposcopy referral rates, 1.5% vs 1.9%, and decreased CIN2+ detection, 2.0 vs 4.7 per 1000, RR=0.43 (95%CI=0.21–0.88) in the Safety vs Control arms. CIN2+ detection and colposcopy referral rates declined with increasing age in both arms. One round of HPV screening detected similar levels of CIN2+ as two rounds of LBC screening. Interpretation: CIN2+ detection at 2 years was lower in those screened by HPV, indicating an improved 2-year negative predictive value of the HPV test.