Effect of Sepsis on Death as Modified by Solid Organ Transplantation
Open forum infectious diseases(2023)
Abstract
Background Patients who have undergone solid organ transplants (SOT) have an increased risk for sepsis compared with the general population. Paradoxically, studies suggest that SOT patients with sepsis may experience better outcomes compared with those without a SOT. However, these analyses used previous definitions of sepsis. It remains unknown whether the more recent definitions of sepsis and modern analytic approaches demonstrate a similar relationship. Methods Using the Weill Cornell-Critical Care Database for Advanced Research, we analyzed granular physiologic, microbiologic, comorbidity, and therapeutic data in patients with and without SOT admitted to intensive care units (ICUs). We used a survival analysis with a targeted minimum loss-based estimation, adjusting for within-group (SOT and non-SOT) potential confounders to ascertain whether the effect of sepsis, defined by sepsis-3, on 28-day mortality was modified by SOT status. We performed additional analyses on restricted populations. Results We analyzed 28 431 patients: 439 with SOT and sepsis, 281 with SOT without sepsis, 6793 with sepsis and without SOT, and 20 918 with neither. The most common SOT types were kidney (475) and liver (163). Despite a higher severity of illness in both sepsis groups, the adjusted sepsis-attributable effect on 28-day mortality for non-SOT patients was 4.1% (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.8-4.5) and -14.4% (95% CI, -16.8 to -12) for SOT patients. The adjusted SOT effect modification was -18.5% (95% CI, -21.2 to -15.9). The adjusted sepsis-attributable effect for immunocompromised controls was -3.5% (95% CI, -4.5 to -2.6). Conclusions Across a large database of patients admitted to ICUs, the sepsis-associated 28-day mortality effect was significantly lower in SOT patients compared with controls. Across a database of approximately 30 000 critically ill patients, among 720 patients with solid organ transplant (SOT) admitted to an ICU, the sepsis-attributable effect on 28-day mortality was lower in patients with SOT compared with those without SOT.
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Key words
mortality,sepsis,solid organ transplant,targeted maximum likelihood estimation
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