How well do crop modeling groups predict wheat phenology, given calibration data from the target population?
European Journal of Agronomy(2021)
Abstract
•27 modeling groups were evaluated for wheat phenology predictions for France.•Calibration and evaluation data were sampled from the same target population.•The calibration and evaluation data have neither year nor site in common.•The best groups had a mean absolute error comparable to the measurement error.•Model structure alone does not determine prediction accuracy.
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Key words
Crop model,Phenology prediction,Model evaluation,Wheat
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