Spatio-temporal patterns of wildfires in the Niassa Reserve –Mozambique, using remote sensing data

Wildfires are among the biggest factors of ecosystem change. Knowledge of fire regime (fire frequency, severity, intensity, seasonality, and distribution pattern) is an important factor in wildfire management. This paper aims to analyze the spatiotemporal patterns of fires and burned areas in the Niassa Reserve between 2002-2015 using MODIS data, active fire product (MCD14ML) and burned area product (MCD64A1). For this, the annual and monthly frequencies, the trend of fires and the frequency by types of forest cover were statistically analyzed. For the analysis of the spatial dynamics of forest fires we used the Kernel density (Fixed Method). The results show a total of 20.449 forest fires and 171.067 km of burned areas in the period 2002-2015. Fire incidents were highest in 2015, while the largest burned areas were recorded in 2007. The relationship between increased fires and burned areas is not linear. There was a tendency for fires to increase, while for burnt areas there was stabilization. Forest fires start in May and end in December. August-October are the most frequent period, peaking in September. Fires occur predominantly in deciduous forests and mountain forests because of the type of vegetation and the amount of dry biomass. There is a monthly spatial dynamics of wildfires from east to west in the reserve. This behavior is dependent on vegetation cover type, fuel availability, and senescence.