Prognostic Value of Serum Creatinine in Severe Covid-19 Patients in Wuhan, China: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Abstract Objectives: Although the respiratory and immune systems are the major targets of SARS-CoV-2, increasing evidence revealed that kidney injury was not rare in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, the incidences of kidney abnormalities were significantly different, from 0.5 to 75.4% in several reports. The association of kidney injury with prognosis remain controversial.Methods:In this retrospective single center cohort study, laboratory confirmedCOVID-19inpatients with severe type were enrolled. Demographic, clinicaland laboratory data were collected. Association ofserum creatinine (SCr)with 28-days mortality in severe COVID-19 patients was analyzed.Results:18.79% (48/304) patients died during the first 28-days of hospitalization.Non-survivors had a significantly higher SCr levels than survivors (109.27μmol/L vs. 69.99μmol/L, P <0.001). The 28-days mortality in high SCr group (>76μmol/L) was significantly higher than that in low SCr group (31.7% vs. 7.5%, P <0.001). Multivariate logistic regression revealed that the independent risk factors of 28-days outcome included age(OR: 2.95, 95%CI: 1.08-8.05), WBC (OR: 6.09, 95%CI: 2.27-6.39), lymphopenia (OR: 3.49, 95%CI: 1.55-7.92), IL-6 (OR: 4.44, 95%CI: 1.64-11.99) and SCr (OR: 2.69, 95%CI: 1.18-6.11). Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated the survival disadvantage in patients with high SCr levels (>76μmol/L). ROC curve showed the SCr cut-off value for predicting 28-days death was 77.5 μmol/L, with the sensitivity of 68.8% and speciality of 74.1%.Conclusion: SCr was associated with poor prognosis and might be an independent risk factor for in-hospital death. The cut-off value of SCr for prognosis prediction was 77.5 μmol/L, with the sensitivity of 68.8% and speciality of 74.1%.