Testing The Static-99r As A Global Screen For Risk Of Sex Crime Recidivism In A Norwegian Routine Sample

SEXUAL ABUSE-A JOURNAL OF RESEARCH AND TREATMENT(2021)

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摘要
The Static-99R has been recommended for use as a first global screen for sorting out sex-convicted persons who are in need of further risk assessment. This study investigated the Static-99R's predictive validity based on a nonselected Norwegian sample (n= 858) of persons released from prison after having served a sex crime sentence. After a mean observation period of 2,183 days, 3.4% (n= 29) had recidivated to a new sex offense. A higher number of recidivists were found among those with higher Static-99R total scores. The predictive contribution from each of the ten Static-99R risk items was investigated using standard logistic regression, proportional hazard regression, and random forest classification algorithm. The overall results indicate that the Static-99R is relevant as a risk screen in a Norwegian context, providing similar results concerning predictive accuracy as previous studies.
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关键词
recidivism, risk assessment, sex offenses, static-99, static risk factors
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