COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan demonstrates the limitations of publicly available case numbers for epidemiological modeling
Epidemics(2021)
摘要
Epidemiological models are widely used to analyze the spread of diseases such as the global COVID-19 pandemic caused by SARS-CoV-2. However, all models are based on simplifying assumptions and often on sparse data. This limits the reliability of parameter estimates and predictions.
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关键词
Compartment model,SEIRD,Parameter estimation,Model selection,Uncertainty analysis
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