Choosing the optimal population for a genome-wide association study: A simulation of whole-genome sequences from rice

A genome-wide association study (GWAS) needs to have a suitable population. The factors that affect a GWAS (e.g. population structure, sample size, and sequence analysis and field testing costs) need to be considered. Mixed populations containing subpopulations of different genetic backgrounds may be suitable populations. We conducted simulation experiments to see if a population with high genetic diversity, such as a diversity panel, should be added to a target population, especially when the target population harbors small genetic diversity. The target population was 112 accessions of Oryza sativa L. subsp. japonica, mainly developed in Japan. We combined the target population with three populations that had higher genetic diversity. These were 100 indica accessions, 100 japonica accessions, and 100 accessions with various genetic backgrounds. The results showed that the GWAS's power with a mixed population was generally higher than with a separate population. Also, the optimal GWAS populations varied depending on the fixation index (F-ST) of the quantitative trait nucleotides (QTNs) and the polymorphism of QTNs in each population. When a QTN was polymorphic in a target population, a target population combined with a higher diversity population improved the QTN's detection power. By investigating F-ST and the expected heterozygosity (H-e) as factors influencing the detection power, we showed that single nucleotide polymorphisms with high F-ST or low H-e are less likely to be detected by GWAS with mixed populations. Sequenced or genotyped germplasm collections can improve the GWAS's detection power by using a subset of the collections with a target population.