Transmission potential of COVID-19 in Iran

Kamalich Muniz-Rodriguez,Isaac Chun-Hai Fung, Shayesterh R. Ferdosi,Sylvia K. Ofori,Yiseul Lee,Amna Tariq,Gerardo Chowell

medrxiv（2020）

引用 11|浏览44

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摘要

We computed reproduction number of COVID-19 epidemic in Iran using two different methods. We estimated R0 at 3.6 (95% CI, 3.2, 4.2) (generalized growth model) and at 3.58 (95% CI, 1.29, 8.46) (estimated epidemic doubling time of 1.20 (95% CI, 1.05, 1.44) days) respectively. Immediate social distancing measures are recommended.

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