Epidemic doubling time of the 2019 novel coronavirus outbreak by province in mainland China

Kamalich Muniz-Rodriguez, View ORCID ProfileGerardo Chowell,Chi-Hin Cheung,Dongyu Jia,Po-Ying Lai,Yiseul Lee,Manyun Liu,Sylvia K. Ofori,Kimberlyn M. Roosa,Lone Simonsen,Isaac Chun-Hai Fung

medRxiv（2020）

引用 18|浏览26

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摘要

We analyzed the epidemic doubling time of the 2019-nCoV outbreak by province in mainland China. Mean doubling time ranged from 1.0 to 3.3 days, being 2.4 days for Hubei (January 20-February 2, 2020). Trajectory of increasing doubling time by province indicated social distancing measures slowed the epidemic with some success.

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