Long-term projections of the hourly electricity consumption in Danish municipalities

To assess future challenges for the energy system, the transmission - and distribution grids, long-term projections of the spatial distribution of electricity consumption with an hourly resolution is important. Based on 2015 data from hourly meters in Denmark, we develop a model that converts national projections of the annual electricity consumption to projections of the hourly consumption in Danish municipalities. Due to different weights and consumption profiles for categories of customers, both the level and the hourly consumption profile differ between municipalities; also future changes will differ.