Optimize production allocation for the oil-gas field basing on a novel grey model

The problem of irregular and small sample prediction can be solved well by time-delayed polynomial fractional order grey model (TDPFOGM(1,1)). Considering the traits, a optimal distribution of oil field output method is proposed. The prediction production for oil field block is obtained basing on the TDPFOGM(1,1) model. And then the optimal model of benefit is established basing on the prediction output. The best allocation scheme is obtained by solving the optimal model. In the end, three allocation ways in oil field blocks are given. The computational results show that the obtained prediction results using the optimal distribution of oil-gas field production are the most accurate.