Spreading of an infectious disease between different locations

The endogenous adaptation of economic agents, that may adjust their trade network in response to infection rates, can have the perverse effect of increasing the overall systemic infectiveness of a disease. We study a dynamical model over two geographically distinct but interacting markets, to better understand theoretically the mechanism at play. We also discuss analogies with the 2018 African Swine Fever, and provide empirical motivation from the Italian National Bovine Database, for the period 2006–2013.