Evaluation of Space Debris Mitigation Measures Using a Debris Evolutionary Model

Debris mitigation measures such as post-mission disposal (PMD) were set by considering the effects thereof using a debris evolutionary model. Many small satellites have recently been deployed in orbit and various plans are proposed for a so-called mega-constellation consisting of thousands of satellites in Low Earth Orbit (LEO). New systems such as an electric propulsion system and air drag augmentation devices are also proposed for satellite de-orbit. Therefore, the impact of them must be discussed in order to preserve the space environment. This study evaluates the debris mitigation measures taken by using the Near-Earth Orbital Debris Environment Evolutionary Model (NEODEEM) that was jointly developed by Kyushu University and JAXA. It revealed that mega-constellations have much impacts on the debris environment, and that the future environment will be affected by the PMD compliance rate and how PMD is achieved.