Very Short-Term Nonparametric Probabilistic Forecasting of Renewable Energy Generation— With Application to Solar Energy
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems(2016)
摘要
Due to the inherent uncertainty involved in renewable energy forecasting, uncertainty quantification is a key input to maintain acceptable levels of reliability and profitability in power system operation. A proposal is formulated and evaluated here for the case of solar power generation, when only power and meteorological measurements are available, without sky-imaging and information about cloud...
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关键词
Probabilistic logic,Reliability,Forecasting,Wind forecasting,Uncertainty,Solar power generation,Clouds
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