Who Has Yet to Test? A Risk Score for Predicting Never Having Tested for Human Immunodeficiency Virus Among Women and Men in Rural Malawi.

BACKGROUND:Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) status awareness is important for preventing onward HIV transmission, and is one of the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV and AIDS (UNAIDS) 90-90-90 goals. Efforts to scale up HIV testing have generally been successful, but identifying at-risk individuals who have never tested for HIV-a population necessary to reach improved HIV status awareness-remains challenging. METHODS:Using data from a community-based cohort of people living in rural central Malawi, we identified demographic, socioeconomic, and sexual health correlates of never having tested for HIV. Correlates were assigned values from the logistic regression model to develop a risk score that identified who had never tested for HIV. RESULTS:Among 1310 ever sexually active participants, 7% of the women and 13% of the men had never tested for HIV. Of those who had tested for HIV, about 30% had tested more than 12 months ago. For women, younger age and poorer sexual health knowledge were correlated with never having tested for HIV, and the c-statistic for the risk score was 0.83. For men, their partner having not tested for HIV, low socioeconomic status, and poor sexual health knowledge were correlated with never testing for HIV (c-statistic, 0.81). Among those with a score of 3 or greater, the sensitivity and specificity for never having tested for HIV were 81% and 77% for women, and 82% and 66% for men, respectively. CONCLUSIONS:About 10% of participants had never tested for HIV. This risk score could help health professionals to identify never testers to increase HIV status awareness in line with 90-90-90 goals.