Describing and explaining urban freight transport by System Dynamics

Transportation Research Procedia(2017)

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摘要
The objective of the overarching approach is to develop a System Dynamics (SD) based microscopic freight transport simulation (MFTS) for urban areas. In this contribution, the qualitative SD approach – causal loop diagram – with the internal structure of urban freight transport and the stakeholders involved, as well as their interdependencies to each other, are transparently presented. On the basis of the causal loops a quantitative and mathematically formalised SD approach will be derived in the next SD modelling steps. This SD model enables trend analyses by medium- and long-term forecasts.
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关键词
Urban freight transport demand,Urban freight demand,Courier,express and package service provider,System Dynamics,Causal loop diagramming,Freight transport demand modelling,Stakeholder analysis
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