Predictors of Urinary Diversion Choice in Patients with Bladder Cancer in Integrated Care Settings.
Journal of clinical oncology(2017)
Abstract
4543 Background: Annually over 10,000 people with bladder cancer in the US have cystectomy surgery with urinary diversion (UD). While ileal conduit (IC) is most common, neobladder (NB) and continent pouch (CP) are options to retain urinary continence. Few studies in community settings have examined patient and clinician factors associated with UD choice. Methods: Eligible patients were age ≥21 with a cystectomy and UD for bladder cancer from 1/2010 to 6/2015 in 3 West coast Kaiser Permanente regions. Data were obtained from the EHR and chart review.We useda mixed effects logistic regression model with surgeon as a random effect, and region as a fixed effect, to identify patient factors associated with UD choice (IC vs NB/CP). We also examined whether surgeon factors were associated with UD choice above and beyond patient factors. Results: Among 1063 patients, 80% had an IC. IC patients were older (mean age 72 vs. 62), more likely female (24% vs. 16%), more likely diagnosed with AJCC stage III/IV (41% vs. 28%), and had higher Charlson comorbidity score (median 4 vs. 3) than NB/CP patients. Surgeons accounted for a sizable portion of the variability in UD choice (ICC = .26). The model with patient factors showed good fit (AUC = .93, Hosmer-Lemeshow test p = .22). Including surgeon factors (annual cystectomy volume, specialty training, clinical tenure) did not improve model fit (p = .32). Female sex, eGFR < 45, 4+ comorbidities, and stage III/IV tumors were associated with higher odds of receiving an IC vs. NB/CP (Table). Conclusions: Patient factors predict much of the variability in UD choice. The high ICC indicates that surgeons also contribute to this process, but surgeon factors we examined were not uniquely associated with IC. Future studies should explore more nuanced surgeon factors, such as how UD choice is shaped by personal beliefs about UD and likely outcomes. [Table: see text]
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