Comparison of prognostic models for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients treated with the sorafenib: Results from a Canadian multi-center HCC database.

e15653Background: Several staging systems and models (TNM, BCLC, Okuda, CLIP and ALBI) have been developed to estimate the prognosis of patients with HCC. Most of these were developed prior to the prevalent use of sorafenib. The purpose of this study was to compare the prognostic and discriminatory power of these models in predicting survival for HCC patients treated with sorafenib. Methods: Patients who received sorafenib for the treatment of HCC between January 1, 2008 and June 30, 2015 in the provinces of British Columbia and Alberta, as well as Princess Margaret Cancer Centre and Sunnybrook Odette Cancer Centre in Toronto, Ontario were included. Survival outcomes for each model were assessed with Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves and compared with the log-rank test. Time dependent area under the curve (t-AUC) was used to test the discriminatory power of each model (higher t-AUC = more discriminatory power). Akaike information criterion (AIC), a measure of goodness-of fit of models while penalizing overly compl...