The cyclicality of fiscal policy: New evidence from unobserved components approach

Journal of Macroeconomics(2017)

引用 11|浏览1
暂无评分
摘要
•The paper employs the multivariate version of the unobserved components model to reinvestigate the cyclicality of fiscal policy in eleven OECD countries.•The new approach disentangles the correlations in cycles from the correlations in slopes of the relevant variables while allowing for those correlations in the model.•The results suggest that fiscal policy is mildly counter-cyclical in seven of the eleven countries analyzed which resonates with the standard Keynesian models. The results remain robust when we use subsamples and an alternative fiscal policy variable.•However, the slope (growth) of government consumption is positively correlated with real GDP in these economies.•There is no evidence of procyclical fiscal policies in any of these eleven industrial countries.
更多
查看译文
关键词
Fiscal policy,Cyclicality,Multivariate unobserved components model,OECD
AI 理解论文
溯源树
样例
生成溯源树,研究论文发展脉络
Chat Paper
正在生成论文摘要