A very short term wind power prediction approach based on Multilayer Restricted Boltzmann Machine

The wind power prediction (WPP) is challenging as a large amount of data with complex nonlinear relationship should be fitted by the prediction method. To improve the accuracy, WPP based on the Multilayer Restricted Boltzmann Machine (MRBM), which is a deep learning neural network with strong feature interpretation ability, is presented in the paper. To explore the influencing factors of prediction accuracy, the number of hidden layers and the number of nodes in each layer of MRBM are studied. Furthermore, the classic Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN) based WPP, as a reference, is compared with the MRBM method. The results show that the accuracy of MRBM based WPP is higher than that of BPNN based WPP. The Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of the MRBM based prediction is 4.5% lower than that of BPNN in some period, and the error distribution of MRBM based WPP is with better concentration ability than that of BPNN based WPP.