Prediction of the size effect in concrete structures using an analytical approach to the weakest link and localization method (WL2)

This paper proposes a refined Weibull effective volume (WEV) approach in order to model the size effect in concrete structures. Both the Highly Stressed Volume (HSV) and Weibull Weakest Link and Localization (WL2) methods are presented. An analytical probabilistic approach to running WL2 is then developed, knowing that this method takes into account the energetic-statistical size effect. The approach employed recognizes the inelastic phase before the peak load; it provides an analytical and fast estimation of the structural tensile strength at various scales. This approach depends on a scale length, which accounts for the spatial randomness of the concrete tensile strength, and is identified on a series of concrete specimens under uniaxial tension by use of an inverse analysis. The Weibull modulus estimation is also discussed herein. Moreover, it is shown that the analytical probabilistic approach to WL2 implementation yields the size effect prediction in both average and dispersion for various experimental series, from laboratory tests to large massive structures. The experimental test series discussed in this paper consists of concrete specimens under uniaxial tension and 3-point bending loading.