Genetic Algorithm with Rank Selection optimises robust parameter estimation for systems biology models

The ability to reliably predict and infer cellular responses to environmental exposures would offer a major advance in the investigation of immune regulation in health and disease. One possible approach is the use of in silico modelling. Design of such a mathematical kinetic model would be based on existing knowledge of a biological system and utilise a partial data set to parameterise. However, the process of parameter estimation, key for the accuracy of the model, is difficult to conduct by hand, and thus a computational alternative is necessary. We report the utility of Genetic Algorithm with Rank Selection (GARS) as a parameter estimation tool on multiple biological models, including heat shock, signal transduction via ERK, circadian rhythm and NFκB systems, where it showed strong accuracy and superiority to the Extended Kalman Filter method, Algebraic Difference Equations, and MATLAB fminsearch approaches. GARS parameter estimation is a valuable tool for biological data because it reliably infers system behaviour from partial data sets, allowing for the prediction of cellular responses to environmental exposures.