CLADES: A Classification-based Machine Learning Method for Species Delimitation from Population Genetic Data.

Species are considered to be the basic unit of ecological and evolutionary studies. As multilocus genomic data are increasingly available, there have been considerable interests in the use of DNA sequence data to delimit species. In this study, we show that machine learning can be used for species delimitation. Our method treats the species delimitation problem as a classification problem for identifying the category of a new observation on the basis of training data. Extensive simulation is first conducted over a broad range of evolutionary parameters for training purposes. Each pair of known populations is combined to form training samples with a label of same species or different species. We use support vector machine (SVM) to train a classifier using a set of summary statistics computed from training samples as features. The trained classifier can classify a test sample to two outcomes: same species or different species. Given multilocus genomic data of multiple related organisms or populations, our method (called CLADES) performs species delimitation by first classifying pairs of populations. CLADES then delimits species by maximizing the likelihood of species assignment for multiple populations. CLADES is evaluated through extensive simulation and also tested on real genetic data. We show that CLADES is both accurate and efficient for species delimitation when compared with existing methods. CLADES can be useful especially when existing methods have difficulty in delimitation, for example with short species divergence time and gene flow.