Prognostic and Predictive Factors of Ebola Virus Disease Outcome in Elderly People during the 2014 Outbreak in Guinea.
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE(2018)
Abstract
Elderly people occupy a prominent position in African societies; however, their potential linkage to high case fatality rate (CFR) in Ebola virus disease (EVD) was often overlooked. We describe the predictive factors for EVD lethality in the elderly. A total of 2,004 adults and 309 elderly patients with confirmed EVD were included in the analysis. The median age (interquartile range) was 35 years (23-44) in adults and 65 years (60-70) in the elderly. The proportion of funeral participation was significantly higher in the elderly group than in the adult group. Duration (in days) between the onset of symptoms and admission was significantly longer in elderly. CFR in the elderly people was also significantly higher (80.6%) than in the adult group (66.2%). Funeral participation constituted a risk factor for the transmission of EVD in elderly people.
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Key words
ebola virus disease outcome,elderly people,outbreak,prognostic
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