Hidden Markov Based Anomaly Detection For Water Supply Systems

Considering the fact that fully immunizing critical infrastructure such as water supply or power grid systems against physical and cyberattacks is not feasible, it is crucial for every public or private sector to invigorate the detective, predictive, and preventive mechanisms to minimize the risk of disruptions, resource loss or damage. This paper proposes a methodical approach to situation analysis and anomaly detection in SCADA-based water supply systems. We model normal system behavior as a hierarchy of hidden semi-Markov models, forming the basis for detecting contextual anomalies of interest in SCADA data. Our experimental evaluation on real-world water supply system data emphasizes the efficacy of our method by significantly outperforming baseline methods.