Towards an establishment of a wildfire risk system in a Mediterranean country.

Wildfire is one of many natural hazards affecting the Mediterranean basin; its consequences could be fatal for individuals and beyond repair for the environment. While factors worldwide included in a fire ignition are unstandardized, in this paper, we built a model from literature-cited factors – fourteen elements were included – to highlight the probability of wildfires' occurrence in the Lebanese forest. It was named Three-Type Model (TTM), where forests were classified into three types: pine, oak and mixed. Validations have been conducted by using thirty percent of datasets versus the other seventy percent; then, by comparing its accuracy to another model that study the forest as one unit only. Accuracy assessment of the model reached above 83%, and it could be portable to other Mediterranean-climate forests.