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Taylor-Rule Exit Policies For The Zero Lower Bound

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CENTRAL BANKING(2018)

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Abstract
The monetary authority loses the ability to implement the Taylor rule at the zero lower bound. However, the promise to implement a Taylor rule upon exit remains an effective policy instrument. We show that a Taylor rule, with an optimally chosen exit date and time-varying inflation target, delivers fully optimal policy at the zero lower bound. Additionally, a Taylor rule with only an optimally chosen exit date but a zero inflation target delivers almost all the welfare gains of optimal policy and is simpler to communicate.
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Key words
new keynesian model,inflation target,liquidity trap
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